Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.092545 0.107112 0.123033 0.141701 0.162963 0.186399 0.214160
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.071542 0.091022 0.114189 0.143668 0.180064 0.223406 0.278800
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.058573 0.081032 0.109799 0.149096 0.201088 0.267197 0.357247
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.046295 0.069188 0.100572 0.146292 0.210654 0.297388 0.422339
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.040328 0.064533 0.099756 0.154026 0.234623 0.348770 0.521208
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.034289 0.058499 0.095747 0.156188 0.250460 0.390145 0.610410
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.028348 0.051426 0.088864 0.152663 0.256856 0.417870 0.682043
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.023973 0.046062 0.083710 0.150840 0.265198 0.448825 0.761130
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.022041 0.044560 0.084647 0.159010 0.290419 0.508527 0.891107
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020226 0.042922 0.085024 0.166099 0.314379 0.568201 1.026374
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017138 0.038273 0.079211 0.161171 0.316499 0.590971 1.101193
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014926 0.034979 0.075429 0.159409 0.323909 0.623243 1.194925
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012631 0.031145 0.070118 0.154160 0.324530 0.644095 1.271622
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010925 0.028294 0.066380 0.151537 0.329874 0.674091 1.367916
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009923 0.026876 0.065462 0.154612 0.346861 0.727574 1.513081
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008520 0.024216 0.061389 0.150317 0.348124 0.750560 1.601456
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008048 0.023814 0.062412 0.157454 0.374333 0.825468 1.798631
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007300 0.022540 0.061173 0.159222 0.389007 0.878126 1.955338
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006348 0.020511 0.057769 0.155399 0.390709 0.903822 2.058622
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005612 0.018942 0.055274 0.153420 0.396342 0.938262 2.183005
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005405 0.018905 0.056780 0.161646 0.426832 1.029362 2.436127
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005160 0.018707 0.057820 0.168802 0.455474 1.118703 2.692292
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004488 0.016999 0.054412 0.163778 0.453630 1.139002 2.796903